Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a southerly flow advecting milder air across central Poland, positioning Warsaw for an afternoon high of 19–21 °C on May 18. This aligns with the city’s mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C and reflects the absence of any strong cold fronts or persistent cloud cover in the latest model runs. Traders have priced 19 °C or higher at 76.5 percent because successive 48-hour updates have converged on this range, with only minor downside risk from localized afternoon showers that rarely cap the daily maximum below 18 °C. The next ECMWF and national meteorological service briefings remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 18일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 기온?
5월 18일 바르샤바에서 가장 높은 기온?
19°C or higher 80%
18°C 14%
17°C 6%
16°C 1.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
14%
19°C or higher
80%
19°C or higher 80%
18°C 14%
17°C 6%
16°C 1.5%
신규
신규
2026.05.18
9°C or below
$582 거래량
<1%
10°C
$602 거래량
<1%
11°C
$1,087 거래량
<1%
12°C
$446 거래량
<1%
13°C
$123 거래량
1%
14°C
$736 거래량
1%
15°C
$566 거래량
1%
16°C
$776 거래량
2%
17°C
$468 거래량
6%
18°C
$238 거래량
14%
19°C or higher
$307 거래량
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a southerly flow advecting milder air across central Poland, positioning Warsaw for an afternoon high of 19–21 °C on May 18. This aligns with the city’s mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C and reflects the absence of any strong cold fronts or persistent cloud cover in the latest model runs. Traders have priced 19 °C or higher at 76.5 percent because successive 48-hour updates have converged on this range, with only minor downside risk from localized afternoon showers that rarely cap the daily maximum below 18 °C. The next ECMWF and national meteorological service briefings remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$5,931종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a southerly flow advecting milder air across central Poland, positioning Warsaw for an afternoon high of 19–21 °C on May 18. This aligns with the city’s mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C and reflects the absence of any strong cold fronts or persistent cloud cover in the latest model runs. Traders have priced 19 °C or higher at 76.5 percent because successive 48-hour updates have converged on this range, with only minor downside risk from localized afternoon showers that rarely cap the daily maximum below 18 °C. The next ECMWF and national meteorological service briefings remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$5,931종료일
2026.05.18마켓 개설일
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show a southerly flow advecting milder air across central Poland, positioning Warsaw for an afternoon high of 19–21 °C on May 18. This aligns with the city’s mid-May climatological normal of roughly 19 °C and reflects the absence of any strong cold fronts or persistent cloud cover in the latest model runs. Traders have priced 19 °C or higher at 76.5 percent because successive 48-hour updates have converged on this range, with only minor downside risk from localized afternoon showers that rarely cap the daily maximum below 18 °C. The next ECMWF and national meteorological service briefings remain the key catalysts that could refine these implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문