Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
5월 17일 웰링턴에서 가장 높은 온도는?
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C 이하 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 거래량
$53,840 거래량
2026.05.17
8°C 이하
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C 이상
<1%
14°C 99.7%
15°C <1%
8°C 이하 <1%
9°C <1%
$53,840 거래량
$53,840 거래량
2026.05.17
8°C 이하
$4,661 거래량
<1%
9°C
$2,840 거래량
<1%
10°C
$2,362 거래량
<1%
11°C
$4,007 거래량
<1%
12°C
$2,263 거래량
<1%
13°C
$7,921 거래량
<1%
14°C
$7,792 거래량
100%
15°C
$4,620 거래량
<1%
16°C
$8,352 거래량
<1%
17°C
$4,197 거래량
<1%
18°C 이상
$4,824 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
거래량
$53,840종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$53,840종료일
2026.05.17마켓 개설일
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETTraders have overwhelmingly priced in a daily high of 14°C for Wellington today because short-range forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and international guidance show stable southerly airflow keeping daytime maxima locked near that level. Current surface observations and ensemble runs indicate minimal cloud-cover variability and no incoming frontal systems capable of driving meaningful temperature departures. This near-certainty reflects both the day’s advanced stage and tight agreement across observational networks, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the capital. Only an unforecasted warm advection event or instrument calibration shift could realistically alter the outcome before final readings are recorded.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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