Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage, including a trifecta of state government control and a legislature with a large GOP majority, underpins the market's 94.2% consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little, seeking a third term, leads a crowded primary set for May 19 that features several challengers focused on taxes, growth policy, and party direction. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of the nominee, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the office since 1995. No recent polling or candidate events have shifted this positioning. A polarizing primary outcome, major scandal involving the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm dynamic boosting Democratic turnout represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
94%
Democrat
3%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Republican
$3,807 거래량
94%
Democrat
$3,435 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage, including a trifecta of state government control and a legislature with a large GOP majority, underpins the market's 94.2% consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little, seeking a third term, leads a crowded primary set for May 19 that features several challengers focused on taxes, growth policy, and party direction. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of the nominee, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the office since 1995. No recent polling or candidate events have shifted this positioning. A polarizing primary outcome, major scandal involving the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm dynamic boosting Democratic turnout represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage, including a trifecta of state government control and a legislature with a large GOP majority, underpins the market's 94.2% consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little, seeking a third term, leads a crowded primary set for May 19 that features several challengers focused on taxes, growth policy, and party direction. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of the nominee, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the office since 1995. No recent polling or candidate events have shifted this positioning. A polarizing primary outcome, major scandal involving the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm dynamic boosting Democratic turnout represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$7,242종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's entrenched Republican advantage, including a trifecta of state government control and a legislature with a large GOP majority, underpins the market's 94.2% consensus for a Republican governor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little, seeking a third term, leads a crowded primary set for May 19 that features several challengers focused on taxes, growth policy, and party direction. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of the nominee, consistent with the party's unbroken hold on the office since 1995. No recent polling or candidate events have shifted this positioning. A polarizing primary outcome, major scandal involving the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm dynamic boosting Democratic turnout represent the main pathways that could narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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