Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight minimum of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driven by stable springtime high pressure, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-May climatology for the region, shaped by maritime air masses from the East China Sea, typically produces lows between 17°C and 21°C, placing 19°C near the historical median. Traders watch for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak trough passages that could enhance cooling and shift the reading to 18°C, though current model spread remains narrow. Official verification will rely on China Meteorological Administration surface observations at key stations, with final resolution hinging on the exact recorded minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트5월 17일 상하이에서 최저 기온?
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$11,152 거래량
$11,152 거래량
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
19°C 99.5%
20°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$11,152 거래량
$11,152 거래량
14°C 이하
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Forecast ensembles from the ECMWF and GFS models show tight convergence on an overnight minimum of 19°C in Shanghai for May 17, driven by stable springtime high pressure, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Mid-May climatology for the region, shaped by maritime air masses from the East China Sea, typically produces lows between 17°C and 21°C, placing 19°C near the historical median. Traders watch for any late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak trough passages that could enhance cooling and shift the reading to 18°C, though current model spread remains narrow. Official verification will rely on China Meteorological Administration surface observations at key stations, with final resolution hinging on the exact recorded minimum.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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