Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 18°C for Tokyo on June 11, aligning closely with the long-term climatological normal near 18°C for early June and recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection. This drives the overwhelming market-implied odds, reflecting trader assessment of verified observational data from official stations rather than speculative projections. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from localized effects or final reporting, though historical June patterns and current model agreement limit realistic deviation scenarios. Resolution hinges on the day's confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 11일 도쿄에서 가장 낮은 기온?
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 거래량
$19,056 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
18°C 99.3%
17°C <1%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
$19,056 거래량
$19,056 거래량
13°C 이하
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C 이상
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting ensemble models project a minimum temperature of 18°C for Tokyo on June 11, aligning closely with the long-term climatological normal near 18°C for early June and recent stable atmospheric conditions without strong cold-air advection. This drives the overwhelming market-implied odds, reflecting trader assessment of verified observational data from official stations rather than speculative projections. Minor forecast adjustments remain possible from localized effects or final reporting, though historical June patterns and current model agreement limit realistic deviation scenarios. Resolution hinges on the day's confirmed low from JMA monitoring.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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