The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트허리케인 시즌이 오기 전에 폭풍으로 명명되었나요?
예
$341,219 거래량
$341,219 거래량
예
$341,219 거래량
$341,219 거래량
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
마켓 개설일: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The National Hurricane Center's first 2026 Tropical Weather Outlook, issued May 15, shows no tropical cyclone formation expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days amid dry air masses and suppressed convection typical of mid-May. Current conditions feature two weak tropical waves moving westward with limited thunderstorm activity, while seasonal forecasts from Colorado State University and others project below-average activity overall due to the likely transition toward El Niño conditions that increase upper-level wind shear. Historically, only a handful of named storms have formed before the June 1 official start, and none have developed in 2026 so far. NOAA's updated seasonal outlook, due May 21, could provide further clarity on any early-June risk, but present data support the market's strong consensus against pre-season development.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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