Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, making it the most Democratic House seat in the country. The open seat drew a contested Democratic primary on May 19, 2026, which state Representative Chris Rabb won with 44.6 percent against Sharif Street and Ala Stanford. No Republican candidate qualified for the May primary ballot, leaving the GOP without a major-party nominee for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural imbalance and the absence of a viable general-election opponent. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong write-in campaign, or an unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though each remains low-probability given the district’s consistent voting patterns and the compressed timeline before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$16,477 거래량
$16,477 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
6%
$16,477 거래량
$16,477 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$10,573 거래량
95%
공화당
$5,904 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, making it the most Democratic House seat in the country. The open seat drew a contested Democratic primary on May 19, 2026, which state Representative Chris Rabb won with 44.6 percent against Sharif Street and Ala Stanford. No Republican candidate qualified for the May primary ballot, leaving the GOP without a major-party nominee for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural imbalance and the absence of a viable general-election opponent. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong write-in campaign, or an unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though each remains low-probability given the district’s consistent voting patterns and the compressed timeline before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
거래량
$16,477종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, making it the most Democratic House seat in the country. The open seat drew a contested Democratic primary on May 19, 2026, which state Representative Chris Rabb won with 44.6 percent against Sharif Street and Ala Stanford. No Republican candidate qualified for the May primary ballot, leaving the GOP without a major-party nominee for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural imbalance and the absence of a viable general-election opponent. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong write-in campaign, or an unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though each remains low-probability given the district’s consistent voting patterns and the compressed timeline before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$16,477종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania’s 3rd congressional district, covering much of Philadelphia, carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+40, making it the most Democratic House seat in the country. The open seat drew a contested Democratic primary on May 19, 2026, which state Representative Chris Rabb won with 44.6 percent against Sharif Street and Ala Stanford. No Republican candidate qualified for the May primary ballot, leaving the GOP without a major-party nominee for the November 3 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic price reflects this structural imbalance and the absence of a viable general-election opponent. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unusually strong write-in campaign, or an unforeseen turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though each remains low-probability given the district’s consistent voting patterns and the compressed timeline before Election Day.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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