Official ONPE tallies, with 99.97% of actas processed as of May 14, show Keiko Fujimori leading Peru's presidential first-round election at 17.18%—a 5.15% margin over Roberto Sánchez—solidifying trader consensus at near-certainty for her 5%+ victory margin and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori as frontrunner amid a fragmented 35-candidate field, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and voter preference for her conservative platform in urban centers and key regions. Despite logistical delays in vote counting sparking fraud claims from third-place Rafael López Aliaga over his razor-thin second-place defeat, tallies have remained stable. Realistic challenges include JNE invalidating sufficient remaining actas or upheld court rulings on irregularities narrowing the gap below 5%, though the negligible 0.03% uncounted votes make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트케이코 후지모리 5%+ 98.8%
기타 <1%
케이코 후지모리 <5% <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 15%+ <1%
$519,459 거래량
$519,459 거래량
2026.04.12
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 15%+
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 10-15%
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 <5%
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 5%+
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 <5%
<1%
케이코 후지모리 5%+
99%
케이코 후지모리 <5%
<1%
호르헤 니에토
<1%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
<1%
볼프강 그로조
<1%
카를로스 알바레스
<1%
기타
1%
케이코 후지모리 5%+ 98.8%
기타 <1%
케이코 후지모리 <5% <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 15%+ <1%
$519,459 거래량
$519,459 거래량
2026.04.12
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 15%+
$10,673 거래량
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 10-15%
$12,077 거래량
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 5-10%
$8,344 거래량
<1%
라파엘 로페스 알리가 <5%
$20,064 거래량
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 5%+
$7,219 거래량
<1%
알폰소 로페스 차우 <5%
$6,302 거래량
<1%
케이코 후지모리 5%+
$160,354 거래량
99%
케이코 후지모리 <5%
$208,591 거래량
<1%
호르헤 니에토
$16,948 거래량
<1%
로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
$20,796 거래량
<1%
볼프강 그로조
$4,675 거래량
<1%
카를로스 알바레스
$6,118 거래량
<1%
기타
$37,298 거래량
1%
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Official ONPE tallies, with 99.97% of actas processed as of May 14, show Keiko Fujimori leading Peru's presidential first-round election at 17.18%—a 5.15% margin over Roberto Sánchez—solidifying trader consensus at near-certainty for her 5%+ victory margin and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori as frontrunner amid a fragmented 35-candidate field, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and voter preference for her conservative platform in urban centers and key regions. Despite logistical delays in vote counting sparking fraud claims from third-place Rafael López Aliaga over his razor-thin second-place defeat, tallies have remained stable. Realistic challenges include JNE invalidating sufficient remaining actas or upheld court rulings on irregularities narrowing the gap below 5%, though the negligible 0.03% uncounted votes make shifts improbable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
거래량
$519,459종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Official ONPE tallies, with 99.97% of actas processed as of May 14, show Keiko Fujimori leading Peru's presidential first-round election at 17.18%—a 5.15% margin over Roberto Sánchez—solidifying trader consensus at near-certainty for her 5%+ victory margin and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori as frontrunner amid a fragmented 35-candidate field, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and voter preference for her conservative platform in urban centers and key regions. Despite logistical delays in vote counting sparking fraud claims from third-place Rafael López Aliaga over his razor-thin second-place defeat, tallies have remained stable. Realistic challenges include JNE invalidating sufficient remaining actas or upheld court rulings on irregularities narrowing the gap below 5%, though the negligible 0.03% uncounted votes make shifts improbable.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$519,459종료일
2026.04.12마켓 개설일
Mar 23, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official ONPE tallies, with 99.97% of actas processed as of May 14, show Keiko Fujimori leading Peru's presidential first-round election at 17.18%—a 5.15% margin over Roberto Sánchez—solidifying trader consensus at near-certainty for her 5%+ victory margin and advancement to the June 7 runoff. Pre-election polls consistently positioned Fujimori as frontrunner amid a fragmented 35-candidate field, bolstered by Fuerza Popular's organizational strength and voter preference for her conservative platform in urban centers and key regions. Despite logistical delays in vote counting sparking fraud claims from third-place Rafael López Aliaga over his razor-thin second-place defeat, tallies have remained stable. Realistic challenges include JNE invalidating sufficient remaining actas or upheld court rulings on irregularities narrowing the gap below 5%, though the negligible 0.03% uncounted votes make shifts improbable.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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