The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 98.3%
800–1,000억 <1%
1,000억~1,200억 <1%
1,400억 달러 이상 <1%
$168,649 거래량
$168,649 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
<1%
800–1,000억
1%
1,000억~1,200억
1%
120–140B
<1%
1,400억 달러 이상
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
98%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음 98.3%
800–1,000억 <1%
1,000억~1,200억 <1%
1,400억 달러 이상 <1%
$168,649 거래량
$168,649 거래량
2026.06.30
800억 달러 미만
$71,585 거래량
<1%
800–1,000억
$14,561 거래량
1%
1,000억~1,200억
$16,230 거래량
1%
120–140B
$33,005 거래량
<1%
1,400억 달러 이상
$14,561 거래량
1%
2026년 6월 30일까지 상장하지 않음
$18,707 거래량
98%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
거래량
$168,649종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$168,649종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The compressed timeline to the June 30, 2026 resolution date—with fewer than 45 days remaining and no S-1 registration statement filed—drives the overwhelming 98.3% market-implied probability of no IPO. Stripe’s February 2026 tender offer at a $159 billion valuation supplied liquidity to employees and early investors without exposing the company to quarterly reporting or public-market governance requirements. Co-founders have repeatedly signaled no urgency to list while directing capital toward AI initiatives and new financial-technology platforms. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, as even an accelerated filing would leave insufficient time for roadshows, pricing, and closing. A sudden, unanticipated regulatory filing could theoretically alter odds, though such a compressed process remains highly improbable for a company of Stripe’s scale.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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