Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트에버렛 잭슨 85.5%
셜던 대니얼스 12%
Gregor Heise 4.8%
닐스 워커 <1%
$23,956 거래량
$23,956 거래량
2026.05.26
에버렛 잭슨
86%
셜던 대니얼스
12%
Gregor Heise
5%
닐스 워커
<1%
에버렛 잭슨 85.5%
셜던 대니얼스 12%
Gregor Heise 4.8%
닐스 워커 <1%
$23,956 거래량
$23,956 거래량
2026.05.26
에버렛 잭슨
$2,568 거래량
86%
셜던 대니얼스
$9,566 거래량
12%
Gregor Heise
$10,509 거래량
5%
닐스 워커
$1,312 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
거래량
$23,956종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
거래량
$23,956종료일
2026.05.26마켓 개설일
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Everett Jackson at 85% implied probability to win the TX-30 Republican primary runoff on May 26, stemming from his dominant 38% (5,403 votes) in the March 3 primary—14 points ahead of Sholdon Daniels' 24% (3,458 votes)—with Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) eliminated. Jackson has consolidated support, including Walker's recent endorsement, positioning him to capture the non-Daniels vote amid expected low runoff turnout in the solidly Democratic Dallas district. Daniels, despite raising $354,000 versus Jackson's $16,000, enters debt after outspending in the primary, constraining his closing efforts. No public polls have emerged since the first round, leaving odds driven by primary momentum and resource dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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