Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary after Nithya Raman overtook him during mail ballot counting, advancing incumbent Karen Bass and Raman to the November runoff. Pratt posted a concession video on June 12–13 acknowledging the outcome without disputing vote totals or requesting a recount, instead vowing to expose the advancing candidates through other means. President Trump’s unsubstantiated fraud claims drew attention but produced no corresponding action from Pratt. With the market resolution window extending only to July 2 and no procedural challenges or official statements indicating a recount demand, traders assign an 86% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of recent developments that would alter this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
예
Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market.
A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.
마켓 개설일: Jun 8, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any general demand for a recount will qualify. If the candidate specifies the size of their demanded recount, it must cover enough ballots such that, if changed, it could affect which candidate will advance to the runoff. Demands for minor administrative re-tallies and routine canvass corrections will not qualify as a demand for a recount for the purposes of this market.
A qualifying statement must definitively demand that a recount occur. Statements that are clearly satirical, hypothetical, or rhetorical will not qualify.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their demand for a recount falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations will not count.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026, Los Angeles mayoral primary after Nithya Raman overtook him during mail ballot counting, advancing incumbent Karen Bass and Raman to the November runoff. Pratt posted a concession video on June 12–13 acknowledging the outcome without disputing vote totals or requesting a recount, instead vowing to expose the advancing candidates through other means. President Trump’s unsubstantiated fraud claims drew attention but produced no corresponding action from Pratt. With the market resolution window extending only to July 2 and no procedural challenges or official statements indicating a recount demand, traders assign an 86% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the absence of recent developments that would alter this positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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