The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, coupled with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, underpins the 93.6 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: April headline inflation eased to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted, creating additional economic slack and tempering demand pressures. With inflation still well above the 3 percent target and elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties persisting, the board has signaled a clear preference for holding the restrictive stance steady. A sharper rebound in activity or an upside surprise in non-core prices could still prompt reconsideration before the June resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 93.4%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,997 Wol.
$10,997 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
6%
No change
93%
Increase
4%
No change 93.4%
Decrease 5.8%
Increase 3.8%
$10,997 Wol.
$10,997 Wol.
Jun 25, 2026
Decrease
$649 Wol.
6%
No change
$9,195 Wol.
93%
Increase
$1,153 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, coupled with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, underpins the 93.6 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: April headline inflation eased to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted, creating additional economic slack and tempering demand pressures. With inflation still well above the 3 percent target and elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties persisting, the board has signaled a clear preference for holding the restrictive stance steady. A sharper rebound in activity or an upside surprise in non-core prices could still prompt reconsideration before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Wolumen
$10,997Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, coupled with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, underpins the 93.6 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: April headline inflation eased to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted, creating additional economic slack and tempering demand pressures. With inflation still well above the 3 percent target and elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties persisting, the board has signaled a clear preference for holding the restrictive stance steady. A sharper rebound in activity or an upside surprise in non-core prices could still prompt reconsideration before the June resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$10,997Data zakończenia
Jun 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Mexico’s May 7 decision to cut its benchmark rate 25 basis points to 6.50 percent, coupled with explicit guidance that the easing cycle has concluded, underpins the 93.6 percent market-implied probability of no change at the June 25 meeting. Recent data reinforce this stance: April headline inflation eased to 4.45 percent and core to 4.26 percent, while first-quarter GDP contracted, creating additional economic slack and tempering demand pressures. With inflation still well above the 3 percent target and elevated geopolitical and trade uncertainties persisting, the board has signaled a clear preference for holding the restrictive stance steady. A sharper rebound in activity or an upside surprise in non-core prices could still prompt reconsideration before the June resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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