Recent polls show a fragmented contest for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke leading at 20–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens at 16 percent. This tight spread among the top four contenders keeps the projected fourth-place outcome fluid, as minor shifts in voter preference or turnout could reorder the parties. The CDU’s candidate change after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal has not altered its standing materially, while the SPD trails at 12–13 percent and smaller parties remain below the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current prices captures the high uncertainty in final seat totals one month before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGrüne 39%
AfD 26%
CDU 20%
Linke 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
39%
AfD
26%
CDU
20%
Linke
12%
SPD
7%
FDP
5%
BSW
4%
FW
3%
Grüne 39%
AfD 26%
CDU 20%
Linke 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$2,248 Wol.
39%
AfD
$36 Wol.
26%
CDU
$56 Wol.
20%
Linke
$110 Wol.
12%
SPD
$36 Wol.
7%
FDP
$99 Wol.
5%
BSW
$51 Wol.
4%
FW
$84 Wol.
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a fragmented contest for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke leading at 20–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens at 16 percent. This tight spread among the top four contenders keeps the projected fourth-place outcome fluid, as minor shifts in voter preference or turnout could reorder the parties. The CDU’s candidate change after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal has not altered its standing materially, while the SPD trails at 12–13 percent and smaller parties remain below the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current prices captures the high uncertainty in final seat totals one month before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,718Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls show a fragmented contest for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke leading at 20–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens at 16 percent. This tight spread among the top four contenders keeps the projected fourth-place outcome fluid, as minor shifts in voter preference or turnout could reorder the parties. The CDU’s candidate change after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal has not altered its standing materially, while the SPD trails at 12–13 percent and smaller parties remain below the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current prices captures the high uncertainty in final seat totals one month before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$2,718Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls show a fragmented contest for the September 20 Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus election, with Die Linke leading at 20–22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent and the Greens at 16 percent. This tight spread among the top four contenders keeps the projected fourth-place outcome fluid, as minor shifts in voter preference or turnout could reorder the parties. The CDU’s candidate change after Kai Wegner’s withdrawal has not altered its standing materially, while the SPD trails at 12–13 percent and smaller parties remain below the five-percent threshold. Trader consensus reflected in current prices captures the high uncertainty in final seat totals one month before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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