California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a 28-year House veteran, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent. Thompson holds endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party, while Jones has raised over $3.2 million primarily from tech sources, slightly outpacing Thompson's institutional backing. Proposition 50 redistricting incorporated additional conservative-leaning counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic advantage without creating a viable Republican path. With no dominant GOP candidate emerging and the top-two system in place, the two Democrats hold clear advantages in voter mobilization and resources ahead of the ballot deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$30,145 Wol.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,145 Wol.
Mike Thompson
$7,192 Wol.
97%
Eric Jones
$4,925 Wol.
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 Wol.
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$894 Wol.
8%
Trevor Merrell
$9,903 Wol.
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 Wol.
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,429 Wol.
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,695 Wol.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a 28-year House veteran, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent. Thompson holds endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party, while Jones has raised over $3.2 million primarily from tech sources, slightly outpacing Thompson's institutional backing. Proposition 50 redistricting incorporated additional conservative-leaning counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic advantage without creating a viable Republican path. With no dominant GOP candidate emerging and the top-two system in place, the two Democrats hold clear advantages in voter mobilization and resources ahead of the ballot deadline.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$30,145Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a 28-year House veteran, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent. Thompson holds endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party, while Jones has raised over $3.2 million primarily from tech sources, slightly outpacing Thompson's institutional backing. Proposition 50 redistricting incorporated additional conservative-leaning counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic advantage without creating a viable Republican path. With no dominant GOP candidate emerging and the top-two system in place, the two Democrats hold clear advantages in voter mobilization and resources ahead of the ballot deadline.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$30,145Data zakończenia
Jun 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California's 4th Congressional District primary on June 2 features incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a 28-year House veteran, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a fragmented field of six Republicans and one independent. Thompson holds endorsements from Governor Gavin Newsom and the state Democratic Party, while Jones has raised over $3.2 million primarily from tech sources, slightly outpacing Thompson's institutional backing. Proposition 50 redistricting incorporated additional conservative-leaning counties such as Sutter and Yuba, modestly reducing the district's Democratic advantage without creating a viable Republican path. With no dominant GOP candidate emerging and the top-two system in place, the two Democrats hold clear advantages in voter mobilization and resources ahead of the ballot deadline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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