**Trump remains the sitting president as of September 2, 2026, following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional or political mechanisms positioned to remove him before September 30.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 physical at Walter Reed described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite ongoing public discussion of age-related issues such as chronic venous insufficiency and occasional reports of fatigue during events. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August 2026 was referred to the House Judiciary Committee without further advancement, consistent with the high bar for House passage and the two-thirds Senate vote required for conviction. Trader consensus at 97.2% on “No” reflects the absence of any near-term triggers—such as Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment, a qualifying health emergency, or rapid legislative action—within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show presidential removals or forced exits require extended processes that rarely align with such compressed timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though no verified indicators currently point to these outcomes before the resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAn announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Trump remains the sitting president as of September 2, 2026, following his January 2025 inauguration for a second term, with no active constitutional or political mechanisms positioned to remove him before September 30.** Official medical reports from his May 2026 physical at Walter Reed described him as in excellent health with strong cardiac, pulmonary, and neurological function, despite ongoing public discussion of age-related issues such as chronic venous insufficiency and occasional reports of fatigue during events. A Democratic impeachment resolution introduced in late August 2026 was referred to the House Judiciary Committee without further advancement, consistent with the high bar for House passage and the two-thirds Senate vote required for conviction. Trader consensus at 97.2% on “No” reflects the absence of any near-term triggers—such as Cabinet invocation of the 25th Amendment, a qualifying health emergency, or rapid legislative action—within the narrow remaining window. Historical patterns show presidential removals or forced exits require extended processes that rarely align with such compressed timelines. Realistic scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unforeseen acute medical event or sudden resignation, though no verified indicators currently point to these outcomes before the resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania