Florida’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 features a four-candidate field of Yen Bailey, Amanda Green, Brice Barnes, and Nic Zateslo, producing tight trader probabilities with no dominant frontrunner. Bailey holds a modest lead in market pricing, reflecting name recognition from her 2024 challenge to the incumbent, while recent fundraising reports show Barnes and Green with stronger hauls through late July. The compressed timeline leaves little room for late shifts, and the absence of consolidated polling or major endorsements keeps probabilities clustered. A strong turnout edge among any candidate’s base or last-minute spending surge could separate the leader before polls close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoYen Bailey 53%
Amanda Green 26%
Nic Zateslo 7.5%
Brice Barnes 5.5%
$42,889 Wol.
$42,889 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Yen Bailey
53%
Amanda Green
26%
Nic Zateslo
8%
Brice Barnes
5%
Yen Bailey 53%
Amanda Green 26%
Nic Zateslo 7.5%
Brice Barnes 5.5%
$42,889 Wol.
$42,889 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Yen Bailey
$16,821 Wol.
53%
Amanda Green
$7,888 Wol.
26%
Nic Zateslo
$12,691 Wol.
8%
Brice Barnes
$5,490 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 features a four-candidate field of Yen Bailey, Amanda Green, Brice Barnes, and Nic Zateslo, producing tight trader probabilities with no dominant frontrunner. Bailey holds a modest lead in market pricing, reflecting name recognition from her 2024 challenge to the incumbent, while recent fundraising reports show Barnes and Green with stronger hauls through late July. The compressed timeline leaves little room for late shifts, and the absence of consolidated polling or major endorsements keeps probabilities clustered. A strong turnout edge among any candidate’s base or last-minute spending surge could separate the leader before polls close.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
Wolumen
$42,889Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 features a four-candidate field of Yen Bailey, Amanda Green, Brice Barnes, and Nic Zateslo, producing tight trader probabilities with no dominant frontrunner. Bailey holds a modest lead in market pricing, reflecting name recognition from her 2024 challenge to the incumbent, while recent fundraising reports show Barnes and Green with stronger hauls through late July. The compressed timeline leaves little room for late shifts, and the absence of consolidated polling or major endorsements keeps probabilities clustered. A strong turnout edge among any candidate’s base or last-minute spending surge could separate the leader before polls close.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$42,889Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 26, 2026, 4:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Florida’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18 features a four-candidate field of Yen Bailey, Amanda Green, Brice Barnes, and Nic Zateslo, producing tight trader probabilities with no dominant frontrunner. Bailey holds a modest lead in market pricing, reflecting name recognition from her 2024 challenge to the incumbent, while recent fundraising reports show Barnes and Green with stronger hauls through late July. The compressed timeline leaves little room for late shifts, and the absence of consolidated polling or major endorsements keeps probabilities clustered. A strong turnout edge among any candidate’s base or last-minute spending surge could separate the leader before polls close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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