The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s open 22nd congressional district remains tight because three well-funded candidates—Michael Carbonara, Belinda Keiser, and Casey Askar—compete with overlapping Trump-aligned messages on immigration, spending, and the economy, while more than 40 percent of likely voters stay undecided just days before the August 18 vote. Recent Club for Growth endorsement and advertising support for Carbonara has lifted his market position, yet polling shows the top three locked in a statistical tie. Heavy self-funding by all three and lingering questions about past affiliations continue to limit separation among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichael Carbonara 49%
Belinda Keiser 22%
David Burck 19.9%
Casey Askar 9.8%
$65,740 Wol.
$65,740 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Michael Carbonara
49%
Belinda Keiser
22%
David Burck
20%
Casey Askar
10%
Richard Evans
<1%
Terri Hasdorff
<1%
Michael Thompson
<1%
Michael Carbonara 49%
Belinda Keiser 22%
David Burck 19.9%
Casey Askar 9.8%
$65,740 Wol.
$65,740 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Michael Carbonara
$36,003 Wol.
49%
Belinda Keiser
$9,938 Wol.
22%
David Burck
$11,265 Wol.
20%
Casey Askar
$6,764 Wol.
10%
Richard Evans
$602 Wol.
<1%
Terri Hasdorff
$436 Wol.
<1%
Michael Thompson
$732 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s open 22nd congressional district remains tight because three well-funded candidates—Michael Carbonara, Belinda Keiser, and Casey Askar—compete with overlapping Trump-aligned messages on immigration, spending, and the economy, while more than 40 percent of likely voters stay undecided just days before the August 18 vote. Recent Club for Growth endorsement and advertising support for Carbonara has lifted his market position, yet polling shows the top three locked in a statistical tie. Heavy self-funding by all three and lingering questions about past affiliations continue to limit separation among contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$65,740Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s open 22nd congressional district remains tight because three well-funded candidates—Michael Carbonara, Belinda Keiser, and Casey Askar—compete with overlapping Trump-aligned messages on immigration, spending, and the economy, while more than 40 percent of likely voters stay undecided just days before the August 18 vote. Recent Club for Growth endorsement and advertising support for Carbonara has lifted his market position, yet polling shows the top three locked in a statistical tie. Heavy self-funding by all three and lingering questions about past affiliations continue to limit separation among contenders.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$65,740Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s open 22nd congressional district remains tight because three well-funded candidates—Michael Carbonara, Belinda Keiser, and Casey Askar—compete with overlapping Trump-aligned messages on immigration, spending, and the economy, while more than 40 percent of likely voters stay undecided just days before the August 18 vote. Recent Club for Growth endorsement and advertising support for Carbonara has lifted his market position, yet polling shows the top three locked in a statistical tie. Heavy self-funding by all three and lingering questions about past affiliations continue to limit separation among contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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