Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather consensus place Ankara’s August 20 daytime maximum near 32 °C under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 32 °C (47.5 %) and 31 °C (41.5 %) outcomes. Differentiation between these two hinges on small uncertainties in peak insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station measurement protocols rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Typical late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau supports highs in this narrow band, with model spreads currently too tight to favor higher or lower bins. Fresh runs from national meteorological services expected over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
32°C 49%
31°C 40%
30°C 10%
33°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
40%
32°C
49%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 49%
31°C 40%
30°C 10%
33°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$186 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$144 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$50 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$36 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$31 Wol.
2%
30°C
$156 Wol.
10%
31°C
$33 Wol.
40%
32°C
$54 Wol.
49%
33°C
$156 Wol.
4%
34°C
$26 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather consensus place Ankara’s August 20 daytime maximum near 32 °C under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 32 °C (47.5 %) and 31 °C (41.5 %) outcomes. Differentiation between these two hinges on small uncertainties in peak insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station measurement protocols rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Typical late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau supports highs in this narrow band, with model spreads currently too tight to favor higher or lower bins. Fresh runs from national meteorological services expected over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$883Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather consensus place Ankara’s August 20 daytime maximum near 32 °C under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 32 °C (47.5 %) and 31 °C (41.5 %) outcomes. Differentiation between these two hinges on small uncertainties in peak insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station measurement protocols rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Typical late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau supports highs in this narrow band, with model spreads currently too tight to favor higher or lower bins. Fresh runs from national meteorological services expected over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$883Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather consensus place Ankara’s August 20 daytime maximum near 32 °C under predominantly sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 32 °C (47.5 %) and 31 °C (41.5 %) outcomes. Differentiation between these two hinges on small uncertainties in peak insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing, and exact station measurement protocols rather than large-scale synoptic shifts. Typical late-August climatology for the Anatolian plateau supports highs in this narrow band, with model spreads currently too tight to favor higher or lower bins. Fresh runs from national meteorological services expected over the next 48 hours will likely resolve the final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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