Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models indicate a peak of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate. High pressure dominates, suppressing convection and limiting cloud cover or precipitation that could cap daytime heating. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward these values with dew points near 9–10°C, supporting efficient warming. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C over 32°C reflect the slight upward bias in official guidance and historical analogs, while the narrow spread between the two outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact model runs and microscale urban effects. No major forecast revisions have altered this consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
32°C 60%
33°C 47%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
$14,096 Wol.
$14,096 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
46%
33°C
47%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 60%
33°C 47%
34°C 3%
31°C 2%
$14,096 Wol.
$14,096 Wol.
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$479 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$315 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$591 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$1,941 Wol.
2%
32°C
$4,043 Wol.
46%
33°C
$3,360 Wol.
47%
34°C
$2,562 Wol.
3%
35°C
$613 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$289 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$230 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$215 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models indicate a peak of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate. High pressure dominates, suppressing convection and limiting cloud cover or precipitation that could cap daytime heating. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward these values with dew points near 9–10°C, supporting efficient warming. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C over 32°C reflect the slight upward bias in official guidance and historical analogs, while the narrow spread between the two outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact model runs and microscale urban effects. No major forecast revisions have altered this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,096Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models indicate a peak of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate. High pressure dominates, suppressing convection and limiting cloud cover or precipitation that could cap daytime heating. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward these values with dew points near 9–10°C, supporting efficient warming. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C over 32°C reflect the slight upward bias in official guidance and historical analogs, while the narrow spread between the two outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact model runs and microscale urban effects. No major forecast revisions have altered this consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,096Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Turkey’s Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü and international models indicate a peak of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate. High pressure dominates, suppressing convection and limiting cloud cover or precipitation that could cap daytime heating. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily toward these values with dew points near 9–10°C, supporting efficient warming. Market-implied odds favoring 33°C over 32°C reflect the slight upward bias in official guidance and historical analogs, while the narrow spread between the two outcomes captures residual uncertainty in exact model runs and microscale urban effects. No major forecast revisions have altered this consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania