National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on May 14?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 14?
82°F or higher 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NOWE
$85,743 Wol.
NOWE
$85,743 Wol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
100%
82°F or higher 99.6%
80-81°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
NOWE
$85,743 Wol.
NOWE
$85,743 Wol.
May 14, 2026
63°F or below
$8,142 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,324 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$6,514 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5,391 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$6,164 Wol.
<1%
72-73°F
$5,631 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,532 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$6,859 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$4,811 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$8,819 Wol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$24,556 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$85,743Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$85,743Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Austin project a high temperature of 90°F or higher on May 14 under a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mostly sunny skies, dry air, and highs in the low 90s, driving the market's 99.6% implied probability for 82°F or above. Yesterday's observed maximum of 84°F and today's mid-80s to low 90s align with this warming trend, bolstered by tight consensus across GFS and ECMWF model ensembles showing minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. Climatologically, May averages 87°F highs, and current patterns exceed this baseline. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected Gulf moisture influx boosting clouds or a weak disturbance altering steering winds, but stable ridge dominance and low rain chances through the weekend temper those odds. Updated model runs and evening NWS advisories could refine guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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