Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on May 13?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 13?
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 Wol.
$157,273 Wol.
May 13, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$157,273 Wol.
$157,273 Wol.
May 13, 2026
55°F or below
$4,729 Wol.
No
56-57°F
$3,942 Wol.
No
58-59°F
$4,368 Wol.
No
60-61°F
$8,276 Wol.
No
62-63°F
$9,435 Wol.
No
64-65°F
$12,238 Wol.
No
66-67°F
$20,308 Wol.
No
68-69°F
$22,029 Wol.
No
70-71°F
$25,334 Wol.
Yes
72-73°F
$24,674 Wol.
No
74°F or higher
$21,939 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Wolumen
$157,273Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$157,273Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:34 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official preliminary observations from the LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station—the market's authoritative resolution source via Weather Underground—recorded New York City's highest temperature on May 13 at 70-71°F, solidifying trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability. Mostly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and gusty southerly winds from a weak frontal passage suppressed solar heating, aligning precisely with National Weather Service (NWS) guidance and model ensembles like the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) that projected peaks in the upper 60s to low 70s. Hourly data showed temperatures topping out near 70°F around midday before cooling. Realistic challenges to this positioning are minimal but could arise from post-processing data revisions or sensor quality-control adjustments during finalization, expected within 24-48 hours; historical precedents show such changes affect less than 1% of records.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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