Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and international model consensus position trader sentiment toward a 36°C or higher maximum in Karachi on May 15, with 50% implied probability reflecting persistent hot, dry conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge following an early-May heatwave that peaked at 44°C. Recent moderation from 43°C highs earlier this week, aided by southerly sea breezes, has clustered expectations around 35–36°C, matching seasonal norms of 34–35°C while accounting for 2°C above-normal projections in coastal Sindh through May 19. Uncertainty stems from variable afternoon onshore flows and potential dust haze, with PMD daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Masroor Airbase observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 15?
36°C or higher 46%
35°C 27%
34°C 25%
33°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
25%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
46%
36°C or higher 46%
35°C 27%
34°C 25%
33°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
26°C or below
$1,013 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$963 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$825 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$847 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$859 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$400 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$196 Wol.
2%
33°C
$376 Wol.
8%
34°C
$188 Wol.
25%
35°C
$670 Wol.
27%
36°C or higher
$313 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and international model consensus position trader sentiment toward a 36°C or higher maximum in Karachi on May 15, with 50% implied probability reflecting persistent hot, dry conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge following an early-May heatwave that peaked at 44°C. Recent moderation from 43°C highs earlier this week, aided by southerly sea breezes, has clustered expectations around 35–36°C, matching seasonal norms of 34–35°C while accounting for 2°C above-normal projections in coastal Sindh through May 19. Uncertainty stems from variable afternoon onshore flows and potential dust haze, with PMD daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Masroor Airbase observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,650Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and international model consensus position trader sentiment toward a 36°C or higher maximum in Karachi on May 15, with 50% implied probability reflecting persistent hot, dry conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge following an early-May heatwave that peaked at 44°C. Recent moderation from 43°C highs earlier this week, aided by southerly sea breezes, has clustered expectations around 35–36°C, matching seasonal norms of 34–35°C while accounting for 2°C above-normal projections in coastal Sindh through May 19. Uncertainty stems from variable afternoon onshore flows and potential dust haze, with PMD daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Masroor Airbase observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$6,650Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and international model consensus position trader sentiment toward a 36°C or higher maximum in Karachi on May 15, with 50% implied probability reflecting persistent hot, dry conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge following an early-May heatwave that peaked at 44°C. Recent moderation from 43°C highs earlier this week, aided by southerly sea breezes, has clustered expectations around 35–36°C, matching seasonal norms of 34–35°C while accounting for 2°C above-normal projections in coastal Sindh through May 19. Uncertainty stems from variable afternoon onshore flows and potential dust haze, with PMD daily updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Masroor Airbase observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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