Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Warsaw on May 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 13?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,355 Wol.
$65,355 Wol.
May 13, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$65,355 Wol.
$65,355 Wol.
May 13, 2026
7°C or below
$811 Wol.
No
8°C
$1,103 Wol.
No
9°C
$4,949 Wol.
No
10°C
$4,755 Wol.
No
11°C
$7,185 Wol.
No
12°C
$11,462 Wol.
Yes
13°C
$9,016 Wol.
No
14°C
$7,065 Wol.
No
15°C
$7,058 Wol.
No
16°C
$5,783 Wol.
No
17°C or higher
$6,167 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
Wolumen
$65,355Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$65,355Data zakończenia
May 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 12:44 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observational data from the Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, Poland's primary reference for such markets, recorded a maximum temperature of 12°C on May 13, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) frost warnings during a mid-May cold snap—"zimni ogrodnicy"—featuring northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and overnight lows near freezing that capped daytime highs. Model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS converged on subdued temperatures in final advisories, reflecting upper-level troughing over Central Europe. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies, though quality-controlled data from established stations rarely shifts beyond 0.5°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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