Trader sentiment clusters around 16-18°C for Helsinki's May 15 high temperature, with 17°C leading at 29.5% implied probability per the fragmented odds distribution signaling high short-range forecast uncertainty. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest advisory projects a 16°C peak amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, but ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models diverges: cooler runs factor in Baltic Sea moderation and afternoon clouds capping at 15-16°C, while optimistic members eye brief clearing and stronger warm advection pushing 17-19°C. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud evolution, wind persistence from the south, and convective timing—any early clearing favors higher temps, persistent overcast lower ones. Historical May highs average 15°C with a 3°C standard deviation; monitor FMI's evening update for refined probabilities before official Helsinki station resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 15?
17°C 30%
16°C 21.1%
18°C 16%
15°C 10.9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
21%
17°C
30%
18°C
16%
19°C
7%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 30%
16°C 21.1%
18°C 16%
15°C 10.9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 15, 2026
12°C or below
$1,352 Wol.
1%
13°C
$1,215 Wol.
1%
14°C
$1,228 Wol.
2%
15°C
$670 Wol.
11%
16°C
$350 Wol.
21%
17°C
$423 Wol.
30%
18°C
$568 Wol.
16%
19°C
$415 Wol.
7%
20°C
$580 Wol.
4%
21°C
$253 Wol.
1%
22°C or higher
$1,601 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 16-18°C for Helsinki's May 15 high temperature, with 17°C leading at 29.5% implied probability per the fragmented odds distribution signaling high short-range forecast uncertainty. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest advisory projects a 16°C peak amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, but ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models diverges: cooler runs factor in Baltic Sea moderation and afternoon clouds capping at 15-16°C, while optimistic members eye brief clearing and stronger warm advection pushing 17-19°C. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud evolution, wind persistence from the south, and convective timing—any early clearing favors higher temps, persistent overcast lower ones. Historical May highs average 15°C with a 3°C standard deviation; monitor FMI's evening update for refined probabilities before official Helsinki station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,655Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters around 16-18°C for Helsinki's May 15 high temperature, with 17°C leading at 29.5% implied probability per the fragmented odds distribution signaling high short-range forecast uncertainty. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest advisory projects a 16°C peak amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, but ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models diverges: cooler runs factor in Baltic Sea moderation and afternoon clouds capping at 15-16°C, while optimistic members eye brief clearing and stronger warm advection pushing 17-19°C. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud evolution, wind persistence from the south, and convective timing—any early clearing favors higher temps, persistent overcast lower ones. Historical May highs average 15°C with a 3°C standard deviation; monitor FMI's evening update for refined probabilities before official Helsinki station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,655Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 1:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 16-18°C for Helsinki's May 15 high temperature, with 17°C leading at 29.5% implied probability per the fragmented odds distribution signaling high short-range forecast uncertainty. The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest advisory projects a 16°C peak amid partly cloudy conditions and light southerly winds, but ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models diverges: cooler runs factor in Baltic Sea moderation and afternoon clouds capping at 15-16°C, while optimistic members eye brief clearing and stronger warm advection pushing 17-19°C. Key variables tipping outcomes include cloud evolution, wind persistence from the south, and convective timing—any early clearing favors higher temps, persistent overcast lower ones. Historical May highs average 15°C with a 3°C standard deviation; monitor FMI's evening update for refined probabilities before official Helsinki station resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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