Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 17?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 17?
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
9%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 32%
66-67°F 13%
60-61°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
May 17, 2026
55°F or below
$62 Wol.
1%
56-57°F
$15 Wol.
1%
58-59°F
$91 Wol.
4%
60-61°F
$206 Wol.
9%
62-63°F
$94 Wol.
28%
64-65°F
$56 Wol.
28%
66-67°F
$186 Wol.
13%
68-69°F
$314 Wol.
3%
70-71°F
$106 Wol.
3%
72-73°F
$35 Wol.
1%
74°F or higher
$89 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,254Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,254Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGARecent ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models shows New York City’s overnight minimum on May 17 clustering in the low-to-mid 60s, supported by a mild southerly flow and increasing mid-level cloud cover that limits radiative cooling under light winds. This setup explains the tight clustering of trader consensus around the 62–65 °F bins, while wider spread in later model runs keeps modest probability on adjacent ranges. Mid-May climatology for Central Park typically centers near 53–55 °F, so the current warmer-than-normal airmass represents a notable positive departure that forecasters will refine with the next cycle of 00Z and 12Z updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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