National Weather Service forecasts indicate a nocturnal low around 52°F tonight in New York City at Central Park under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds around 10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 52-53°F (49%) edging 50-51°F (47%). Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clusters tightly in the low 52s, but variability arises from potential radiational cooling if mid-level clouds dissipate after sunset, versus persistent stratus layers limiting the drop to 51-52°F. Light winds enhance cooling potential without strong mixing, while the urban heat island effect provides a typical mid-May floor near 51°F based on historical data. Hourly updates from NOAA could sharpen this spread before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 15?
52-53°F 99.6%
50-51°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$13,921 Wol.
$13,921 Wol.
May 15, 2026
41°F or below
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
100%
52-53°F 99.6%
50-51°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$13,921 Wol.
$13,921 Wol.
May 15, 2026
41°F or below
$2,587 Wol.
<1%
42-43°F
$410 Wol.
<1%
44-45°F
$454 Wol.
<1%
46-47°F
$801 Wol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,409 Wol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,873 Wol.
1%
52-53°F
$1,816 Wol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a nocturnal low around 52°F tonight in New York City at Central Park under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds around 10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 52-53°F (49%) edging 50-51°F (47%). Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clusters tightly in the low 52s, but variability arises from potential radiational cooling if mid-level clouds dissipate after sunset, versus persistent stratus layers limiting the drop to 51-52°F. Light winds enhance cooling potential without strong mixing, while the urban heat island effect provides a typical mid-May floor near 51°F based on historical data. Hourly updates from NOAA could sharpen this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,921Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a nocturnal low around 52°F tonight in New York City at Central Park under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds around 10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 52-53°F (49%) edging 50-51°F (47%). Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clusters tightly in the low 52s, but variability arises from potential radiational cooling if mid-level clouds dissipate after sunset, versus persistent stratus layers limiting the drop to 51-52°F. Light winds enhance cooling potential without strong mixing, while the urban heat island effect provides a typical mid-May floor near 51°F based on historical data. Hourly updates from NOAA could sharpen this spread before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$13,921Data zakończenia
May 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate a nocturnal low around 52°F tonight in New York City at Central Park under partly cloudy skies and northwest winds around 10 mph, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus with 52-53°F (49%) edging 50-51°F (47%). Ensemble guidance from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models clusters tightly in the low 52s, but variability arises from potential radiational cooling if mid-level clouds dissipate after sunset, versus persistent stratus layers limiting the drop to 51-52°F. Light winds enhance cooling potential without strong mixing, while the urban heat island effect provides a typical mid-May floor near 51°F based on historical data. Hourly updates from NOAA could sharpen this spread before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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