Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 4?
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,862 Wol.
$47,862 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,862 Wol.
$47,862 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
12°C or below
$582 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$556 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$4,847 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$6,340 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$10,401 Wol.
100%
17°C
$11,309 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$2,921 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5,156 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$2,141 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$1,325 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$2,289 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,862Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$47,862Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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