Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Chicago, including Chicago Midway International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological normals for early August (historical average high near 83–84°F). This outcome reflects typical late-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Traders converged on this narrow bin once preliminary observations and model consensus confirmed no deviation into adjacent ranges, underscoring the reliability of ground-based thermometer data for resolving such markets. A shift in official reporting or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter settlement, though verified readings make that highly unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 4?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,636 Wol.
$37,636 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$37,636 Wol.
$37,636 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
75°F or below
$638 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$539 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$3,190 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,239 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,405 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$8,370 Wol.
100%
86-87°F
$6,680 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,484 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,709 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$741 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$643 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Chicago, including Chicago Midway International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological normals for early August (historical average high near 83–84°F). This outcome reflects typical late-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Traders converged on this narrow bin once preliminary observations and model consensus confirmed no deviation into adjacent ranges, underscoring the reliability of ground-based thermometer data for resolving such markets. A shift in official reporting or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter settlement, though verified readings make that highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$37,636Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Chicago, including Chicago Midway International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological normals for early August (historical average high near 83–84°F). This outcome reflects typical late-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Traders converged on this narrow bin once preliminary observations and model consensus confirmed no deviation into adjacent ranges, underscoring the reliability of ground-based thermometer data for resolving such markets. A shift in official reporting or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter settlement, though verified readings make that highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,636Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 9:04 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in Chicago, including Chicago Midway International Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 84–85°F on August 4, 2026, aligning precisely with climatological normals for early August (historical average high near 83–84°F). This outcome reflects typical late-summer atmospheric conditions without significant heat advection or urban heat island amplification pushing readings higher. Traders converged on this narrow bin once preliminary observations and model consensus confirmed no deviation into adjacent ranges, underscoring the reliability of ground-based thermometer data for resolving such markets. A shift in official reporting or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter settlement, though verified readings make that highly unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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