Indian Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear skies, anchoring trader consensus around the 41°C-or-below outcome. Recent observations show daytime highs running several degrees below the 40–43°C mid-May climatological baseline, largely because lingering atmospheric moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity earlier in the month limited solar heating and kept surface temperatures suppressed. With minimal spread among short-range models and no major shift in steering patterns expected, the probability of reaching 42°C or higher remains modest unless drier air allows stronger insolation before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, and any last-minute IMD adjustments could still influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 17?
41°C or below 59%
42°C 30%
43°C 4.0%
44°C 2.5%
$18,134 Wol.
$18,134 Wol.
41°C or below
59%
42°C
30%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 59%
42°C 30%
43°C 4.0%
44°C 2.5%
$18,134 Wol.
$18,134 Wol.
41°C or below
59%
42°C
30%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKIndian Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear skies, anchoring trader consensus around the 41°C-or-below outcome. Recent observations show daytime highs running several degrees below the 40–43°C mid-May climatological baseline, largely because lingering atmospheric moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity earlier in the month limited solar heating and kept surface temperatures suppressed. With minimal spread among short-range models and no major shift in steering patterns expected, the probability of reaching 42°C or higher remains modest unless drier air allows stronger insolation before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, and any last-minute IMD adjustments could still influence positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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