Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 19?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 19?
42°C or below 80%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
42°C or below
80%
43°C
11%
44°C
5%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C
1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 80%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
NOWE
NOWE
May 19, 2026
42°C or below
$124 Wol.
80%
43°C
$74 Wol.
11%
44°C
$62 Wol.
5%
45°C
$211 Wol.
1%
46°C
$156 Wol.
1%
47°C
$149 Wol.
1%
48°C
$155 Wol.
1%
49°C
$132 Wol.
1%
50°C
$136 Wol.
<1%
51°C
$140 Wol.
1%
52°C or higher
$228 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,567Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,567Data zakończenia
May 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania