Persistent Sharav conditions, characterized by strong easterly winds transporting hot, dry continental air across the eastern Mediterranean, are driving the market’s 78.5% implied probability for a Tel Aviv high of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Recent runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF show these winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling through midday while clear skies accelerate surface heating, consistent with a multi-day heatwave peaking along the coastal plain. Traders are weighting these model signals heavily because historical analogs under similar spring Sharav setups routinely produce afternoon maxima in the mid-30s °C range. Minor residual uncertainty centers on exact timing of any late-day marine air intrusion that could cap the peak near 34 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 17?
35°C or higher 82%
34°C 15%
33°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
NOWE
$11,135 Wol.
NOWE
$11,135 Wol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
82%
35°C or higher 82%
34°C 15%
33°C 1.1%
31°C <1%
NOWE
$11,135 Wol.
NOWE
$11,135 Wol.
May 17, 2026
25°C or below
$2,054 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$677 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,047 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,018 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$823 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$698 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$597 Wol.
1%
32°C
$1,132 Wol.
1%
33°C
$1,058 Wol.
1%
34°C
$968 Wol.
15%
35°C or higher
$1,798 Wol.
82%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent Sharav conditions, characterized by strong easterly winds transporting hot, dry continental air across the eastern Mediterranean, are driving the market’s 78.5% implied probability for a Tel Aviv high of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Recent runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF show these winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling through midday while clear skies accelerate surface heating, consistent with a multi-day heatwave peaking along the coastal plain. Traders are weighting these model signals heavily because historical analogs under similar spring Sharav setups routinely produce afternoon maxima in the mid-30s °C range. Minor residual uncertainty centers on exact timing of any late-day marine air intrusion that could cap the peak near 34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,135Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent Sharav conditions, characterized by strong easterly winds transporting hot, dry continental air across the eastern Mediterranean, are driving the market’s 78.5% implied probability for a Tel Aviv high of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Recent runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF show these winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling through midday while clear skies accelerate surface heating, consistent with a multi-day heatwave peaking along the coastal plain. Traders are weighting these model signals heavily because historical analogs under similar spring Sharav setups routinely produce afternoon maxima in the mid-30s °C range. Minor residual uncertainty centers on exact timing of any late-day marine air intrusion that could cap the peak near 34 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$11,135Data zakończenia
May 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPersistent Sharav conditions, characterized by strong easterly winds transporting hot, dry continental air across the eastern Mediterranean, are driving the market’s 78.5% implied probability for a Tel Aviv high of 35 °C or higher on May 17. Recent runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF show these winds suppressing sea-breeze cooling through midday while clear skies accelerate surface heating, consistent with a multi-day heatwave peaking along the coastal plain. Traders are weighting these model signals heavily because historical analogs under similar spring Sharav setups routinely produce afternoon maxima in the mid-30s °C range. Minor residual uncertainty centers on exact timing of any late-day marine air intrusion that could cap the peak near 34 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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