Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C for Mexico City’s August 15 high stems primarily from ensemble forecasts showing a peak slightly above the long-term August average of 24°C, driven by El Niño-enhanced warmth across central Mexico while typical rainy-season convection caps extremes. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the monsoon-influenced pattern—introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress temperatures toward 25°C or below, whereas delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and push readings to 27–28°C. Mexico City’s high elevation and urban heat island further modulate daily maxima, with model spreads reflecting sensitivity to wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 15?
26°C 41%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
41%
27°C
40%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 40%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$508 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$118 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$49 Wol.
1%
23°C
$187 Wol.
1%
24°C
$794 Wol.
1%
25°C
$311 Wol.
11%
26°C
$454 Wol.
41%
27°C
$894 Wol.
40%
28°C
$219 Wol.
9%
29°C
$240 Wol.
1%
30°C or higher
$433 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C for Mexico City’s August 15 high stems primarily from ensemble forecasts showing a peak slightly above the long-term August average of 24°C, driven by El Niño-enhanced warmth across central Mexico while typical rainy-season convection caps extremes. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the monsoon-influenced pattern—introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress temperatures toward 25°C or below, whereas delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and push readings to 27–28°C. Mexico City’s high elevation and urban heat island further modulate daily maxima, with model spreads reflecting sensitivity to wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,207Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C for Mexico City’s August 15 high stems primarily from ensemble forecasts showing a peak slightly above the long-term August average of 24°C, driven by El Niño-enhanced warmth across central Mexico while typical rainy-season convection caps extremes. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the monsoon-influenced pattern—introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress temperatures toward 25°C or below, whereas delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and push readings to 27–28°C. Mexico City’s high elevation and urban heat island further modulate daily maxima, with model spreads reflecting sensitivity to wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,207Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus between 26°C and 27°C for Mexico City’s August 15 high stems primarily from ensemble forecasts showing a peak slightly above the long-term August average of 24°C, driven by El Niño-enhanced warmth across central Mexico while typical rainy-season convection caps extremes. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers—common in the monsoon-influenced pattern—introduce key uncertainty, as earlier or heavier precipitation would suppress temperatures toward 25°C or below, whereas delayed or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and push readings to 27–28°C. Mexico City’s high elevation and urban heat island further modulate daily maxima, with model spreads reflecting sensitivity to wind patterns and boundary-layer moisture.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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