Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 14?
27°C or higher 37.0%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
$111,670 Wol.
NOWE
$111,670 Wol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
29%
26°C
24%
27°C or higher
37%
27°C or higher 37.0%
25°C 29%
26°C 24%
24°C 4%
NOWE
$111,670 Wol.
NOWE
$111,670 Wol.
May 14, 2026
17°C or below
$13,053 Wol.
1%
18°C
$6,678 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$5,976 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$6,132 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$11,364 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$20,663 Wol.
1%
23°C
$13,628 Wol.
2%
24°C
$11,657 Wol.
4%
25°C
$4,351 Wol.
29%
26°C
$4,366 Wol.
24%
27°C or higher
$13,802 Wol.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$111,670Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$111,670Data zakończenia
May 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, issued May 12, projects Seoul's May 14 high temperature in a broad 17–29°C range under mostly clear skies and light winds, driving trader consensus toward warmer outcomes with 27°C or higher at 39% implied probability. This reflects a high-pressure ridge building over the Korean Peninsula following cooler early-May highs around 20°C, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 23–25°C and recent model ensembles favoring upper-20s peaks from prolonged sunshine. Ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS show convergence on 25–27°C, though cloud cover variability introduces uncertainty; KMA hourly updates expected today could sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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