Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 24, reflecting broad consensus among meteorological models for afternoon temperatures reaching the low 30s Celsius. Persistent summer warmth under a subtropical high-pressure influence, combined with typical regional climatology showing August average highs near 32–34°C, supports this positioning despite scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources project maxima of 30–33°C, with limited cooling expected from brief precipitation. The outcome could shift only if unexpected dense cloud cover or heavier rainfall develops and suppresses peak readings below the threshold, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such suppression.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
32°C or higher 99.6%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
32°C or higher 99.6%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 99.6% implied probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 24, reflecting broad consensus among meteorological models for afternoon temperatures reaching the low 30s Celsius. Persistent summer warmth under a subtropical high-pressure influence, combined with typical regional climatology showing August average highs near 32–34°C, supports this positioning despite scattered thunderstorms and high humidity. Official forecasts from multiple sources project maxima of 30–33°C, with limited cooling expected from brief precipitation. The outcome could shift only if unexpected dense cloud cover or heavier rainfall develops and suppresses peak readings below the threshold, though current observations and model runs show low likelihood of such suppression.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania