Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist list led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing 9–10 mandates amid high undecided voters and vote splitting from new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party. The market’s tight spread between the 10–11 and 14+ brackets reflects consistent but modest support for the merged Labor-Meretz slate, competition within the broader opposition bloc that includes Yashar and Together, and sensitivity to small shifts in secular or Arab turnout. Late developments including final party-list submissions by September 8, security incidents, or stronger mobilization by centrist lists could push results toward either the lower or higher brackets currently priced near parity by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano10-11 50%
14+ 40%
8-9 35%
12-13 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<8
28%
8-9
35%
10-11
41%
12-13
32%
14+
40%
10-11 50%
14+ 40%
8-9 35%
12-13 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$0 Wol.
28%
8-9
$0 Wol.
35%
10-11
$10 Wol.
41%
12-13
$0 Wol.
32%
14+
$0 Wol.
40%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist list led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing 9–10 mandates amid high undecided voters and vote splitting from new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party. The market’s tight spread between the 10–11 and 14+ brackets reflects consistent but modest support for the merged Labor-Meretz slate, competition within the broader opposition bloc that includes Yashar and Together, and sensitivity to small shifts in secular or Arab turnout. Late developments including final party-list submissions by September 8, security incidents, or stronger mobilization by centrist lists could push results toward either the lower or higher brackets currently priced near parity by traders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist list led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing 9–10 mandates amid high undecided voters and vote splitting from new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party. The market’s tight spread between the 10–11 and 14+ brackets reflects consistent but modest support for the merged Labor-Meretz slate, competition within the broader opposition bloc that includes Yashar and Together, and sensitivity to small shifts in secular or Arab turnout. Late developments including final party-list submissions by September 8, security incidents, or stronger mobilization by centrist lists could push results toward either the lower or higher brackets currently priced near parity by traders.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the left-wing Zionist list led by Yair Golan, in the 8–11 seat range ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, with most surveys showing 9–10 mandates amid high undecided voters and vote splitting from new entrants such as Ofer Winter’s People of Israel party. The market’s tight spread between the 10–11 and 14+ brackets reflects consistent but modest support for the merged Labor-Meretz slate, competition within the broader opposition bloc that includes Yashar and Together, and sensitivity to small shifts in secular or Arab turnout. Late developments including final party-list submissions by September 8, security incidents, or stronger mobilization by centrist lists could push results toward either the lower or higher brackets currently priced near parity by traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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