**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window. Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 71%
5-9 18%
10-14 6%
15-19 <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
<5
71%
5-9
18%
10-14
6%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 71%
5-9 18%
10-14 6%
15-19 <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 21, 2026
<5
$3,878 Wol.
71%
5-9
$682 Wol.
18%
10-14
$410 Wol.
6%
15-19
$297 Wol.
1%
20-24
$187 Wol.
1%
25-29
$137 Wol.
1%
30-34
$137 Wol.
1%
35-39
$147 Wol.
1%
40-44
$151 Wol.
1%
45-49
$111 Wol.
1%
50-54
$159 Wol.
1%
55-59
$264 Wol.
1%
60+
$159 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window.
Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,719Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window.
Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Wolumen
$6,719Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The @khamenei_ir account, the primary official X handle associated with Iran's Supreme Leader, has maintained low posting volume since the March 2026 transition to Mojtaba Khamenei.** It primarily shares archival quotes on historical or religious themes rather than issuing frequent new statements, resulting in trader consensus heavily favoring fewer than five posts for the August 14–21 window. Recent activity shows sporadic reposts of older content, with several entries in early August tied to commemorations like Arbaeen but no surge in new material. Mojtaba Khamenei's public presence remains limited, including an undated video released around August 10, without corresponding increases in account output. This pattern of infrequent, non-daily updates—consistent with post-transition operations—underpins the 69.5% probability on under five posts and the sharp drop-off for higher buckets.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania