Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$61,064 Wol.
$61,064 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$61,064 Wol.
$61,064 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$34,748 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$26,316 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$61,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$61,064Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Troy Carter benefits from Louisiana’s 2nd District’s consistent Democratic performance in New Orleans and surrounding parishes, where registered voters and historical margins strongly favor the party. Recent candidate qualifying shows multiple Democrats but only marginal Republican and Libertarian entries, limiting opposition. Court rulings on congressional maps have prompted adjustments, yet the core urban composition continues to anchor trader consensus at 96% for Democrats. A late scandal, unusually low turnout, or further redistricting that substantially increases suburban or rural Republican-leaning areas could narrow the gap before the November primary and December general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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