Republican traders heavily favor their party's nominee at 80.5% implied probability in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by GOP-led redistricting efforts to redraw the map after the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declared the current boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. On May 13, a Senate committee advanced a new congressional map reducing majority-Black districts from two to one, positioning LA-06 as Republican-leaning and endangering incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who vows legal challenges citing demographics. Primaries originally set for May 16 were suspended pending final map approval by the Republican trifecta legislature and Governor Jeff Landry, with potential court fights ahead of the November 3 general election. This shift overrides the district's D+8 Cook PVI under the prior lines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$57,125 Wol.
$57,125 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$57,125 Wol.
$57,125 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$30,736 Wol.
81%
Democratic Party
$26,389 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders heavily favor their party's nominee at 80.5% implied probability in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by GOP-led redistricting efforts to redraw the map after the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declared the current boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. On May 13, a Senate committee advanced a new congressional map reducing majority-Black districts from two to one, positioning LA-06 as Republican-leaning and endangering incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who vows legal challenges citing demographics. Primaries originally set for May 16 were suspended pending final map approval by the Republican trifecta legislature and Governor Jeff Landry, with potential court fights ahead of the November 3 general election. This shift overrides the district's D+8 Cook PVI under the prior lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$57,125Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican traders heavily favor their party's nominee at 80.5% implied probability in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by GOP-led redistricting efforts to redraw the map after the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declared the current boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. On May 13, a Senate committee advanced a new congressional map reducing majority-Black districts from two to one, positioning LA-06 as Republican-leaning and endangering incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who vows legal challenges citing demographics. Primaries originally set for May 16 were suspended pending final map approval by the Republican trifecta legislature and Governor Jeff Landry, with potential court fights ahead of the November 3 general election. This shift overrides the district's D+8 Cook PVI under the prior lines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$57,125Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican traders heavily favor their party's nominee at 80.5% implied probability in Louisiana's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by GOP-led redistricting efforts to redraw the map after the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais declared the current boundaries an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. On May 13, a Senate committee advanced a new congressional map reducing majority-Black districts from two to one, positioning LA-06 as Republican-leaning and endangering incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields, who vows legal challenges citing demographics. Primaries originally set for May 16 were suspended pending final map approval by the Republican trifecta legislature and Governor Jeff Landry, with potential court fights ahead of the November 3 general election. This shift overrides the district's D+8 Cook PVI under the prior lines.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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