Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 11?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Wol.
$57,256 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,256 Wol.
$57,256 Wol.
Jun 11, 2026
21°C or below
$1,090 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,765 Wol.
No
23°C
$3,087 Wol.
No
24°C
$5,088 Wol.
No
25°C
$8,900 Wol.
Yes
26°C
$22,823 Wol.
No
27°C
$4,500 Wol.
No
28°C
$1,301 Wol.
No
29°C
$6,013 Wol.
No
30°C
$1,912 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$777 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$57,256Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$57,256Data zakończenia
Jun 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting observational data positioned the minimum temperature at 25°C on June 11 amid typical subtropical summer conditions featuring partly cloudy skies and isolated showers. This aligns with June climatological baselines where overnight lows rarely fall below 24°C without atypical northerly flow, and recent model consensus reinforced the threshold without significant divergence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this convergence of verified measurements and historical patterns, with the market treating the outcome as resolved based on skin-in-the-game assessment of authoritative sources. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp cold surge or station-specific anomaly, though atmospheric steering patterns made such shifts highly improbable before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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