Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with generally cloudy to overcast skies and scattered thundershowers, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a low near 26–27°C for August 26, consistent with recent observations of 27°C on the 25th and typical monsoon baselines. Variable rainfall timing and localized cloud breaks introduce the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes in trader pricing, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the higher end by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
26°C 50%
25°C 48%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 50%
25°C 48%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
48%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, with generally cloudy to overcast skies and scattered thundershowers, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official IMD guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a low near 26–27°C for August 26, consistent with recent observations of 27°C on the 25th and typical monsoon baselines. Variable rainfall timing and localized cloud breaks introduce the narrow spread between 25°C and 27°C outcomes in trader pricing, while stronger or more persistent convection would favor the higher end by trapping heat and moisture near the surface. Updated model runs and evening observations will clarify resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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