Trader consensus assigns a 99% implied probability to a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to overnight minima near that range under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze circulation typically suppress radiational cooling in subtropical August conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Ensemble guidance showed limited potential for clearer, drier air that could allow deeper drops into the mid-70s. The outcome could shift only if revised official observations from Miami International Airport deviate notably from preliminary data or if post-event quality control alters the recorded minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on August 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 4?
76-77°F 99.5%
74-75°F 3%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$14,288 Wol.
$14,288 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 99.5%
74-75°F 3%
70-71°F <1%
69°F or below <1%
$14,288 Wol.
$14,288 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
69°F or below
$567 Wol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,988 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,595 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,097 Wol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,903 Wol.
100%
78-79°F
$2,618 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,469 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,218 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,040 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$427 Wol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$367 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 99% implied probability to a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to overnight minima near that range under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze circulation typically suppress radiational cooling in subtropical August conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Ensemble guidance showed limited potential for clearer, drier air that could allow deeper drops into the mid-70s. The outcome could shift only if revised official observations from Miami International Airport deviate notably from preliminary data or if post-event quality control alters the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,288Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 99% implied probability to a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to overnight minima near that range under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze circulation typically suppress radiational cooling in subtropical August conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Ensemble guidance showed limited potential for clearer, drier air that could allow deeper drops into the mid-70s. The outcome could shift only if revised official observations from Miami International Airport deviate notably from preliminary data or if post-event quality control alters the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,288Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 99% implied probability to a 76-77°F low in Miami on August 4, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus pointing to overnight minima near that range under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and elevated humidity. High moisture content and sea-breeze circulation typically suppress radiational cooling in subtropical August conditions, keeping readings close to or slightly below the 78°F climatological average. Ensemble guidance showed limited potential for clearer, drier air that could allow deeper drops into the mid-70s. The outcome could shift only if revised official observations from Miami International Airport deviate notably from preliminary data or if post-event quality control alters the recorded minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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