**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 23?
68°F or higher 47%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 31%
62-63°F 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
31%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
25%
58-59°F
20%
60-61°F
19%
62-63°F
31%
64-65°F
31%
66-67°F
31%
68°F or higher
47%
68°F or higher 47%
50-51°F 31%
52-53°F 31%
62-63°F 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
49°F or below
$22 Wol.
1%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
31%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
31%
54-55°F
$20 Wol.
13%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
25%
58-59°F
$29 Wol.
20%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
19%
62-63°F
$5 Wol.
31%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
31%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
31%
68°F or higher
$0 Wol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$76Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$76Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Northeasterly flow and associated cloud cover are the dominant drivers keeping the implied minimum temperature for New York City on September 23 centered in the mid-50s.** Official National Weather Service guidance and multiple model runs project a low near 54–57°F, with breezy northeast winds of 15–20 mph limiting radiational cooling while maintaining a stable marine-influenced air mass. This produces a tight cluster of market-implied probabilities around the 56–57°F, 58–59°F, and 60–61°F bins, reflecting modest spread in forecast minima tied to small differences in wind mixing and overnight cloud thickness. Warmer outcomes above 68°F carry lower implied odds consistent with the absence of any warm-air advection in current guidance, while sub-52°F readings remain possible only if stronger clearing develops than currently expected. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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