Forecast consensus from global models points to Shanghai overnight lows of 23–25°C on September 19, supported by light northeast winds, moderate humidity near 70%, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show stable warm advection from the subtropical ridge, with only minor perturbations from weak frontal activity expected to produce isolated showers rather than sharp temperature drops. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between cooler (19°C or below) and warmer (29°C or higher) thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 19?
29°C or higher 98%
19°C or below 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
49%
20°C
35%
21°C
35%
22°C
35%
23°C
39%
24°C
40%
25°C
40%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
37%
29°C or higher
98%
29°C or higher 98%
19°C or below 49%
24°C 40%
25°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Wol.
49%
20°C
$0 Wol.
35%
21°C
$0 Wol.
35%
22°C
$0 Wol.
35%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$0 Wol.
40%
25°C
$0 Wol.
40%
26°C
$0 Wol.
35%
27°C
$0 Wol.
35%
28°C
$0 Wol.
37%
29°C or higher
$0 Wol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to Shanghai overnight lows of 23–25°C on September 19, supported by light northeast winds, moderate humidity near 70%, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show stable warm advection from the subtropical ridge, with only minor perturbations from weak frontal activity expected to produce isolated showers rather than sharp temperature drops. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between cooler (19°C or below) and warmer (29°C or higher) thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from global models points to Shanghai overnight lows of 23–25°C on September 19, supported by light northeast winds, moderate humidity near 70%, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show stable warm advection from the subtropical ridge, with only minor perturbations from weak frontal activity expected to produce isolated showers rather than sharp temperature drops. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between cooler (19°C or below) and warmer (29°C or higher) thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global models points to Shanghai overnight lows of 23–25°C on September 19, supported by light northeast winds, moderate humidity near 70%, and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Recent observations show stable warm advection from the subtropical ridge, with only minor perturbations from weak frontal activity expected to produce isolated showers rather than sharp temperature drops. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, explaining the near-even market-implied odds between cooler (19°C or below) and warmer (29°C or higher) thresholds. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine boundary-layer details ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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