Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle between 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split at those levels. Light winds, high humidity, and possible scattered clouds or brief showers are expected to limit radiational cooling under a subtropical high-pressure influence, preventing sharper drops while also capping any warmer advection. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international model runs align on these thresholds, with minor variations stemming from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on the precise minimum recorded by standard station measurements overnight, with any late-model adjustments or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
24°C 50%
23°C 43%
25°C 7%
22°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
43%
24°C
50%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
23°C 43%
25°C 7%
22°C 6%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
4%
22°C
6%
23°C
43%
24°C
50%
25°C
7%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Shanghai's overnight low on September 18 will likely settle between 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split at those levels. Light winds, high humidity, and possible scattered clouds or brief showers are expected to limit radiational cooling under a subtropical high-pressure influence, preventing sharper drops while also capping any warmer advection. Official Chinese meteorological guidance and international model runs align on these thresholds, with minor variations stemming from differences in boundary-layer parameterization and precipitation timing. Resolution hinges on the precise minimum recorded by standard station measurements overnight, with any late-model adjustments or localized urban heat effects the main variables that could shift the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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