Subtropical monsoon conditions and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a narrow 26–29°C range for Shenzhen’s overnight low on August 25. Elevated dew points and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while variable rainfall timing introduces model spread in how much the temperature can drop before dawn. Official guidance shows typical August lows near 26–27°C, with recent forecasts placing the minimum around 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies. The close spread across 26°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud and precipitation timing, with new model runs and radar updates expected to clarify resolution before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 25?
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 36%
26°C 27%
29°C 24%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
27%
27°C
14%
28°C
36%
29°C
24%
30°C
20%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
46%
33°C or higher 46%
28°C 36%
26°C 27%
29°C 24%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$210 Wol.
2%
24°C
$62 Wol.
3%
25°C
$59 Wol.
7%
26°C
$0 Wol.
27%
27°C
$0 Wol.
14%
28°C
$0 Wol.
36%
29°C
$0 Wol.
24%
30°C
$48 Wol.
20%
31°C
$5 Wol.
12%
32°C
$165 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$145 Wol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a narrow 26–29°C range for Shenzhen’s overnight low on August 25. Elevated dew points and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while variable rainfall timing introduces model spread in how much the temperature can drop before dawn. Official guidance shows typical August lows near 26–27°C, with recent forecasts placing the minimum around 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies. The close spread across 26°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud and precipitation timing, with new model runs and radar updates expected to clarify resolution before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$695Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Subtropical monsoon conditions and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a narrow 26–29°C range for Shenzhen’s overnight low on August 25. Elevated dew points and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while variable rainfall timing introduces model spread in how much the temperature can drop before dawn. Official guidance shows typical August lows near 26–27°C, with recent forecasts placing the minimum around 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies. The close spread across 26°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud and precipitation timing, with new model runs and radar updates expected to clarify resolution before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$695Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Subtropical monsoon conditions and persistent cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping trader focus on a narrow 26–29°C range for Shenzhen’s overnight low on August 25. Elevated dew points and high humidity limit radiative cooling after sunset, while variable rainfall timing introduces model spread in how much the temperature can drop before dawn. Official guidance shows typical August lows near 26–27°C, with recent forecasts placing the minimum around 26–28°C under mostly overcast skies. The close spread across 26°C, 28°C, and 29°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud and precipitation timing, with new model runs and radar updates expected to clarify resolution before midnight.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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