Traders see Wellington's lowest temperature on September 19 clustered tightly around 7–9°C because the latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place overnight minima in that narrow band under a southerly flow. A weak cold front and variable cloud cover are the dominant controls; clearer skies would allow stronger radiational cooling while increased winds or low stratus would limit the drop. Wellington’s coastal topography and exposure to Cook Strait make the outcome especially sensitive to small changes in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. The next model cycles tonight should tighten the range before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
6°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
9°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
2%
5°C
19%
6°C
39%
7°C
26%
8°C
27%
9°C
29%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
2%
6°C 39%
10°C 39%
11°C 39%
9°C 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
5°C
$0 Wol.
19%
6°C
$0 Wol.
39%
7°C
$0 Wol.
26%
8°C
$0 Wol.
27%
9°C
$6 Wol.
29%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
39%
12°C
$0 Wol.
2%
13°C
$0 Wol.
2%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Wellington's lowest temperature on September 19 clustered tightly around 7–9°C because the latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place overnight minima in that narrow band under a southerly flow. A weak cold front and variable cloud cover are the dominant controls; clearer skies would allow stronger radiational cooling while increased winds or low stratus would limit the drop. Wellington’s coastal topography and exposure to Cook Strait make the outcome especially sensitive to small changes in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. The next model cycles tonight should tighten the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$6Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see Wellington's lowest temperature on September 19 clustered tightly around 7–9°C because the latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place overnight minima in that narrow band under a southerly flow. A weak cold front and variable cloud cover are the dominant controls; clearer skies would allow stronger radiational cooling while increased winds or low stratus would limit the drop. Wellington’s coastal topography and exposure to Cook Strait make the outcome especially sensitive to small changes in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. The next model cycles tonight should tighten the range before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Wellington's lowest temperature on September 19 clustered tightly around 7–9°C because the latest high-resolution model runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System place overnight minima in that narrow band under a southerly flow. A weak cold front and variable cloud cover are the dominant controls; clearer skies would allow stronger radiational cooling while increased winds or low stratus would limit the drop. Wellington’s coastal topography and exposure to Cook Strait make the outcome especially sensitive to small changes in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer mixing. The next model cycles tonight should tighten the range before the market resolves.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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