**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Wuhan on September 15, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 23–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** This positioning keeps the market tightly balanced around 22°C (49.5% implied probability) versus lower outcomes near 47.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in the exact hourly minimum driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 45–55%, and urban heat retention. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and stations like those reporting 24.6°C lows in recent runs support the higher end, while any late-night clearing could push readings lower. Resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations once the full calendar day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 15?
16°C or below 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 98%
19°C 93%
$837 Wol.
$837 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
98%
19°C
93%
20°C
90%
21°C
46%
22°C
49%
23°C
47%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 98%
17°C 98%
18°C 98%
19°C 93%
$837 Wol.
$837 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Wol.
98%
17°C
$10 Wol.
98%
18°C
$10 Wol.
98%
19°C
$80 Wol.
93%
20°C
$123 Wol.
90%
21°C
$96 Wol.
46%
22°C
$2 Wol.
49%
23°C
$50 Wol.
47%
24°C
$244 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$192 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Wuhan on September 15, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 23–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** This positioning keeps the market tightly balanced around 22°C (49.5% implied probability) versus lower outcomes near 47.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in the exact hourly minimum driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 45–55%, and urban heat retention. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and stations like those reporting 24.6°C lows in recent runs support the higher end, while any late-night clearing could push readings lower. Resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations once the full calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$837Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Wuhan on September 15, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 23–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** This positioning keeps the market tightly balanced around 22°C (49.5% implied probability) versus lower outcomes near 47.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in the exact hourly minimum driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 45–55%, and urban heat retention. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and stations like those reporting 24.6°C lows in recent runs support the higher end, while any late-night clearing could push readings lower. Resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations once the full calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$837Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Wuhan on September 15, with consensus pointing to a minimum near 23–25°C amid mostly cloudy skies and light easterly winds.** This positioning keeps the market tightly balanced around 22°C (49.5% implied probability) versus lower outcomes near 47.5%, reflecting modest uncertainty in the exact hourly minimum driven by variable cloud cover, humidity near 45–55%, and urban heat retention. Official data from Chinese meteorological agencies and stations like those reporting 24.6°C lows in recent runs support the higher end, while any late-night clearing could push readings lower. Resolution will hinge on verified 24-hour minimum observations once the full calendar day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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