Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election features a dominant Morena-led coalition facing a fragmented field for second place, with recent polling placing PRI, PT, and MC within a narrow band nationally. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform bill exposed fractures inside the governing alliance, as PT and PVEM joined opposition parties in voting it down over concerns about seat allocations and funding. May 2026 surveys from multiple firms showed PAN and MC edging or matching PRI in vote intention, sustaining volatility among the smaller parties. Traders price these dynamics as the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered, with any sustained shift in opposition coordination, coalition seat negotiations, or late-cycle polling likely to widen gaps ahead of election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
MC 43%
PRI 42%
PVEM 41%
PT 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
34%
PRI
42%
PT
39%
PVEM
41%
MC
43%
Morena
11%
MC 43%
PRI 42%
PVEM 41%
PT 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$96 Wol.
34%
PRI
$13 Wol.
42%
PT
$13 Wol.
39%
PVEM
$1 Wol.
41%
MC
$13 Wol.
43%
Morena
$491 Wol.
11%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election features a dominant Morena-led coalition facing a fragmented field for second place, with recent polling placing PRI, PT, and MC within a narrow band nationally. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform bill exposed fractures inside the governing alliance, as PT and PVEM joined opposition parties in voting it down over concerns about seat allocations and funding. May 2026 surveys from multiple firms showed PAN and MC edging or matching PRI in vote intention, sustaining volatility among the smaller parties. Traders price these dynamics as the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered, with any sustained shift in opposition coordination, coalition seat negotiations, or late-cycle polling likely to widen gaps ahead of election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Rynek otwarty: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$628Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election features a dominant Morena-led coalition facing a fragmented field for second place, with recent polling placing PRI, PT, and MC within a narrow band nationally. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform bill exposed fractures inside the governing alliance, as PT and PVEM joined opposition parties in voting it down over concerns about seat allocations and funding. May 2026 surveys from multiple firms showed PAN and MC edging or matching PRI in vote intention, sustaining volatility among the smaller parties. Traders price these dynamics as the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered, with any sustained shift in opposition coordination, coalition seat negotiations, or late-cycle polling likely to widen gaps ahead of election day.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Wolumen
$628Data zakończenia
Jun 6, 2027Rynek otwarty
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico's June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election features a dominant Morena-led coalition facing a fragmented field for second place, with recent polling placing PRI, PT, and MC within a narrow band nationally. The March 2026 defeat of President Sheinbaum’s electoral reform bill exposed fractures inside the governing alliance, as PT and PVEM joined opposition parties in voting it down over concerns about seat allocations and funding. May 2026 surveys from multiple firms showed PAN and MC edging or matching PRI in vote intention, sustaining volatility among the smaller parties. Traders price these dynamics as the main drivers keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered, with any sustained shift in opposition coordination, coalition seat negotiations, or late-cycle polling likely to widen gaps ahead of election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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