Recent unofficial tallies from Michigan’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary show state Rep. Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar by roughly 4,200 votes out of 111,000 cast, producing a 3.8-point margin. This narrow outcome has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly balanced between sub-4 percent and alternative buckets. Remaining factors include final certification of Wayne County results, counting of outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, and any post-election challenges or audits. A shift of only a few hundred votes could move the certified margin across the 4 percent threshold, while confirmation of the current spread would resolve the market in the leading category. Traders therefore price both outcomes near even odds pending official totals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMcKinney 16%+ 3.9%
Thanedar <4% <1%
McKinney 12–16% <1%
McKinney 8–12% <1%
$15,556 Wol.
$15,556 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
McKinney 16%+
4%
McKinney 12–16%
<1%
McKinney 8–12%
<1%
McKinney 4–8%
36%
McKinney <4%
50%
Thanedar <4%
1%
Thanedar 4–8%
<1%
McKinney 16%+ 3.9%
Thanedar <4% <1%
McKinney 12–16% <1%
McKinney 8–12% <1%
$15,556 Wol.
$15,556 Wol.
Aug 4, 2026
McKinney 16%+
$3,999 Wol.
4%
McKinney 12–16%
$2,811 Wol.
<1%
McKinney 8–12%
$617 Wol.
<1%
McKinney 4–8%
$708 Wol.
36%
McKinney <4%
$2,677 Wol.
50%
Thanedar <4%
$2,557 Wol.
1%
Thanedar 4–8%
$740 Wol.
<1%
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent unofficial tallies from Michigan’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary show state Rep. Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar by roughly 4,200 votes out of 111,000 cast, producing a 3.8-point margin. This narrow outcome has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly balanced between sub-4 percent and alternative buckets. Remaining factors include final certification of Wayne County results, counting of outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, and any post-election challenges or audits. A shift of only a few hundred votes could move the certified margin across the 4 percent threshold, while confirmation of the current spread would resolve the market in the leading category. Traders therefore price both outcomes near even odds pending official totals.
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,556Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Recent unofficial tallies from Michigan’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary show state Rep. Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar by roughly 4,200 votes out of 111,000 cast, producing a 3.8-point margin. This narrow outcome has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly balanced between sub-4 percent and alternative buckets. Remaining factors include final certification of Wayne County results, counting of outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, and any post-election challenges or audits. A shift of only a few hundred votes could move the certified margin across the 4 percent threshold, while confirmation of the current spread would resolve the market in the leading category. Traders therefore price both outcomes near even odds pending official totals.
The MI-13 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MI-13 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$15,556Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 27, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent unofficial tallies from Michigan’s 13th Congressional District Democratic primary show state Rep. Donavan McKinney defeating incumbent Rep. Shri Thanedar by roughly 4,200 votes out of 111,000 cast, producing a 3.8-point margin. This narrow outcome has kept the margin-of-victory market tightly balanced between sub-4 percent and alternative buckets. Remaining factors include final certification of Wayne County results, counting of outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, and any post-election challenges or audits. A shift of only a few hundred votes could move the certified margin across the 4 percent threshold, while confirmation of the current spread would resolve the market in the leading category. Traders therefore price both outcomes near even odds pending official totals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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