Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur maintains a clear edge in the redrawn Ohio 9th district, where traders assign the party a 67.5 percent chance of holding the seat. Kaptur, who has represented the area since 1983, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Republican Derek Merrin prevailed in a competitive five-way contest to face her in November. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map toward greater Republican alignment after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, yet her established name recognition and voter base continue to anchor Democratic positioning in early assessments. The general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or campaign developments to influence the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$19,911 Wol.
$19,911 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
28%
$19,911 Wol.
$19,911 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$169 Wol.
68%
Republican Party
$19,742 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur maintains a clear edge in the redrawn Ohio 9th district, where traders assign the party a 67.5 percent chance of holding the seat. Kaptur, who has represented the area since 1983, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Republican Derek Merrin prevailed in a competitive five-way contest to face her in November. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map toward greater Republican alignment after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, yet her established name recognition and voter base continue to anchor Democratic positioning in early assessments. The general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or campaign developments to influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,911Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur maintains a clear edge in the redrawn Ohio 9th district, where traders assign the party a 67.5 percent chance of holding the seat. Kaptur, who has represented the area since 1983, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Republican Derek Merrin prevailed in a competitive five-way contest to face her in November. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map toward greater Republican alignment after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, yet her established name recognition and voter base continue to anchor Democratic positioning in early assessments. The general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or campaign developments to influence the final outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$19,911Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur maintains a clear edge in the redrawn Ohio 9th district, where traders assign the party a 67.5 percent chance of holding the seat. Kaptur, who has represented the area since 1983, secured her party's nomination without opposition in the May 5 primary, while Republican Derek Merrin prevailed in a competitive five-way contest to face her in November. Mid-decade redistricting shifted the map toward greater Republican alignment after Kaptur's narrow 2024 victory, yet her established name recognition and voter base continue to anchor Democratic positioning in early assessments. The general election remains months away, leaving room for polling shifts or campaign developments to influence the final outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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